Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.843613 0.962760 1.092513 1.244287 1.416944 1.607248 1.832936
2025-03-02 0.645196 0.804217 0.992833 1.232971 1.530589 1.887413 2.347949
2025-03-09 0.541049 0.716755 0.937804 1.236169 1.628415 2.126683 2.808268
2025-03-16 0.468161 0.652048 0.894858 1.238706 1.713155 2.345082 3.251663
2025-03-23 0.416702 0.606200 0.867157 1.252429 1.806824 2.576178 3.726412
2025-03-30 0.363533 0.549980 0.816625 1.225322 1.836021 2.715324 4.079528
2025-04-06 0.320435 0.502485 0.772005 1.199519 1.860742 2.845388 4.425586
2025-04-13 0.280675 0.455071 0.721694 1.158304 1.855567 2.926835 4.700858
2025-04-20 0.270860 0.452944 0.739732 1.223422 2.019090 3.277374 5.422432
2025-04-27 0.260196 0.448002 0.752235 1.279834 2.172327 3.622697 6.163765
2025-05-04 0.249204 0.441149 0.760500 1.329156 2.316958 3.964222 6.926095
2025-05-11 0.233815 0.425061 0.751493 1.347667 2.409899 4.225614 7.572392
2025-05-18 0.211815 0.395649 0.717712 1.321284 2.424862 4.359304 8.016099
2025-05-25 0.194066 0.372209 0.692333 1.307555 2.461126 4.533338 8.548065
2025-06-01 0.180746 0.355550 0.677404 1.311017 2.528033 4.765999 9.204923
2025-06-08 0.168674 0.340013 0.662973 1.313703 2.592968 4.999091 9.880837
2025-06-15 0.159223 0.328623 0.655240 1.328250 2.681287 5.282120 10.675323
2025-06-22 0.145659 0.307648 0.626968 1.299516 2.681551 5.395178 11.143501
2025-06-29 0.133585 0.288548 0.600660 1.272164 2.681701 5.506990 11.616926
2025-07-06 0.121027 0.267219 0.567921 1.228474 2.644118 5.539358 11.928290
2025-07-13 0.120337 0.271274 0.587973 1.297501 2.848271 6.080839 13.351669
2025-07-20 0.118669 0.273001 0.603187 1.357300 3.037452 6.605450 14.781772
2025-07-27 0.116326 0.272984 0.614582 1.409580 3.214373 7.117341 16.225706